.THERE IS ACTUALLY bit uncertainty regarding the very likely victor of Britain's general election on July 4th: along with a top of 20 portion aspects in national viewpoint surveys, the Labour Celebration is very most likely to win. Yet there is unpredictability concerning the dimension of Labour's bulk in Britain's 650-seat Home of Commons. Some polling companies have actually released seat prophecies using a novel method referred to as multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP). What are these polls-- and how accurate are they?